Landscape Change Research Group

The Landscape Change Research Group specializes in creating ecological assessments and projections using large amounts of biological, climatic, and terrain data with statistical models and geographic information systems (GIS).


The Landscape Change Research Group (LCRG) creates original research as well as valuable tools and data sets for resource managers and decision makers. The LCRG works to effectively deliver relevant information to land managers, collect valuable feedback from users, address information needs for forest adaptation, and inspire new research. We also take advantage of local opportunities, working directly with scientists and managers to inform land management decisions in Ohio.

"Thank you for all of your in-depth analyses for the assessment Louis. It is a wonderful resource and we very much appreciate you taking the time and interest to do this!"

-  Maria Lemke, The Nature Conservancy

"I wanted to thank you all for an excellent session. I really appreciate the time and effort that you all put into planning and executing the event. I think it was really well received and valued by the participants."

-  Kaitlyn Wilson, University of Minnesota’s Sustainable Forest Education Cooperative



4 members of LCRG standing together

The Climate Change Atlas remains one of the Forest Service’s most widely used models of climate impacts on forests, with more than 807,000 page views in the last year. Building on major accomplishments in 2019, we continue to update the Climate Change Atlas. The latest version includes updated DISTRIB-II and SHIFT outputs, regional summaries for various geographic entities, and four new tutorial videos. These products have been featured in several virtual presentations and workshops.

The LCRG remains a busy and productive research group, publishing 9 journal articles, giving 13 scientific presentations, and producing a soil carbon assessment data set this past year. We continue to work with the Ohio Interagency Forestry Team and Wayne National Forest on promoting oak- dominated forests in the 17-county project area of a USDA Joint Chiefs’ Restoration Partnership. We are also contributing to a recreation and infrastructure vulnerability assessment for the Mark Twain National Forest.





We will continue to publish new research, provide support for mapping soil carbon impacts from land use and management, and continue to collaborate with partners wanting to use information from the Climate Change Atlas. Plans for next year include:

  • Update the Bird Atlas with new models incorporating results from the latest version of the Tree Atlas. • Expand and enhance our models to the conterminous US, the full range of the species, and populations of species.
  • Characterize forest types and their departures using novel analysis.
  • Collaborate on a book chapter on future forests.


2021 Fast Facts

807,000+ pageviews on the atlas websites in 2021

9 scientific publications authored or co-authored

275,000+ Atlas users in 2021

807 citations on Google Scholar